Kristine on August 30th, 2010

5 years ago when I was still at KTVT,  I was on the cover of D Magazine. I was named Best Meteorologist (quite an honor). On the cover my photo was a little circle in the middle of many other of D’s best that year. I thought that would be my first and last time to be on the cover of any type of magazine.

Not so!

This past spring, Lumbie Mambo, publisher of Equanimity Magazine called my publicist. She had heard my unique story and asked if I would be interested in being featured in their fall edition. After an engaging interview, a few days later I found out that I was not only featured, but to be their cover girl. Very cool…

Fall Edition 2010

A newcomer in the marketplace, Equanimity Magazine is a quality magazine that focuses on how women (and men) try to strike that very elusive work, family, life balance.

It’s publisher, Lumbie Mambo is a beautiful and very talented lady who looks for unique stories to inspire readers. She thought my story would inspire women who have always wanted to start their own business, but have been too afraid to take the leap of faith. My business publishing children’s books/weather education is only part of my story with more unfolding everyday. (I’ll blog more about this another time)

But I loved sharing my story with all its triumphs, challenges and imperfections…and hope that it can inspire even one woman to reach for her own stars.

The Fall Edition is hot off the press and available at most major booksellers.

To celebrate the new edition, Barnes and Noble Booksellers in Dallas is hosting a store event and book signing. When: Tues, Aug 31st at 7pm. Where: B&N on NW Highway near Northpark Mall.

There will be prizes to give away, you could even win a flat screen TV!

I would love to see you there. I’ll be signing cover copies of the fall edition and there will also be plenty of copies of Katie and the Magic Umbrella and her adventures for me to personalize for you and your child.

Please click here for more information.

Hope to see you then!

Kristine

Kristine on August 23rd, 2010

Happy Back to School!

Sent the kids off this morning, went for a nice long 6-mile run and for the first time in 3 months I finally have a little time to write and get back to work.

Hot…Hot…Hot…I’m sure you’ll agree, August has truly been a tough month. After our nice early July rains, the faucet turned off and a monster upper level ridge has put North Texas under a pressure cooker, especially these past 3 weeks.

We had 18 consecutive 100 degree days (July 31-Aug 17th), making the streak the 7th longest since records have been kept at DFW. Clouds and a few showers/storms with a stalled front on the 18th brought us our only day so far this month below 100. The high that day…96.  Then on Sunday the 22nd DFW recorded a record high of 105, and today we are expecting another record high.

Tired of the heat? I have some good news.

A strong disturbance will cross the Northern Plains the next 2 days. This change in the upper level pattern will draw some much cooler surface air southward in the form of a cold front. This front will arrive here Tuesday afternoon as a “cool” front and with it the hope for a few scattered storms. While I think a little rain is possible, the clouds on Tuesday should be what helps to keep temps 5-10 degrees cooler than where we’ve been. Once the front moves south of us, our rain chances are done, but it will feel so much more pleasant.

By Wednesday, the lower levels dry out and a light NE breeze Wed-Thur should make our nights more comfortable ( upper 60s-low 70s), with highs more seasonable in the low to mid 90s. I’ll take it!

Enjoy it, the humidity and heat will be back. After all it’s still August. But at least we are coming down the home stretch and can look forward to pattern changes more often heading into September. Usually by early October our daily highs are back down in the 80s. Won’t that be nice?

Until next time……

Kristine on August 4th, 2010

Today's Expected Highs

While tornadoes, hurricanes and winter storms always seem to be the big draw for most weather junkies, what many don’t realize is that heat is truly the #1 weather-related killer.

Today will mark the 5th consecutive day of 100+ degree temperatures and there are more the come this week. Even though the dewpoint is relatively low, the heat indices are still averaging 104-109 each afternoon. Get in the sun and it feels 10-15 degrees hotter than the ambient temperature.

This makes it just plain unsafe to be outdoors for more than a few hours without taking frequent breaks, preferably in the A/C.

Here is a great link to the National Weather Service website in Ft. Worth.  http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/?n=heat3

There is lots of information about how the heat index is determined and ways to avoid heat related illnesses like heat exhaustion.

About 9 years ago I almost lost my husband to heatstroke…in November. He collapsed running the White Rock Half Marathon. A race he wasn’t physically ready for. It was a humid, fall day with highs in the 80′s. He was lucky, my family was lucky. He got help quickly and had a strong heart or he wouldn’t have survived.

While most of us are used to this heat by now, this is the kind that can kill even the healthiest person if not careful.

So take it easy….we still have a good 6-8 weeks of good ‘ol hot Texas weather before the winds of fall arrive. Don’t know about you, but I’m ready!

Kristine on March 7th, 2010

There is no question our very wet, chilly winter has been the result of a strong El Nino.

Often the effects of the El Nino on our weather wane as we get closer to summer. We’ll see.

As I look at the long-range models… the constant train of storm systems that continue to cross the southern third of the U.S. aren’t showing signs of slowing down anytime soon. So as we head into the spring, instead of frequent rounds of snow, we should expect frequent storms that could bring us a severe weather season we might not soon forget. Even if tornadoes and hail aren’t the big story, I have a feeling it could be the flooding.

Our lakes are full. So if the faucet doesn’t shut off with a few dry spells in March and April, the big rains we typically get in May could lead to some major problems.

Short term: What’s ahead for Monday and Monday night in North Texas?

More rain and a few embedded storms. While the Storm Prediction Center isn’t expecting any major severe weather outbreaks with this next system here..it’s dynamic enough for elevated rotating storms that could bring hail and powerful winds between late morning and early evening Monday.

Monday SPC Outlook

500mb Chart for Monday

Then we clear out and Tuesday looks fantastic with highs in the 70′s!

But another fast-moving system will jet through the Panhandle Wednesday bringing another quick shot at more storms before it moves out Thursday. So this week will be an active one weather-wise with quick changes.

I know there are many of you who love winter and the cold, but I am honestly thrilled that the weather is warming up. Time to get back in the garden, plant my herbs and flowers and spend long evenings on the patio. I can’t wait!

Kristine on February 10th, 2010

Could be!

6 years ago, on Valentine’s Day,  North Texas was hit with the perfect snow storm. Huge, wet flakes fell across the area that Saturday leaving our area coated in white. Below you can see a graphic that shows the snowfall totals by the time all was said and done.

Valentine's Day Snowfall-Feb 14th, 2004

The good thing about this one, temperatures were near or above freezing. This meant the snow stacked up on everything…but the roads. So Sweethearts everywhere could still keep their special event and dinner plans.

NWS Ft Worth photo-Feb 14, 2004

Fast forward about 6 years and we are looking at similar situation, but the storms are much different. This storm isn’t built the same. The upper low isn’t as strong, however a unique surface/mid level boundary may bring the extra moisture and lift needed to create heavy snow bands that could drop 3-6″ of snow in areas about 40-60miles north and west of the Metroplex.

Here is the latest snowfall forecast from the National Weather Service as of late Wednesday evening as the latest computer guidance now shows 2-4″ possible in the metro area with much lighter amounts south and east.

Latest Snowfall Forecast

Regardless, the fun will begin Thursday morning with light snow and a winter mix first. Roads will be fine. As the atmosphere continues to cool and saturate, snow will begin to increase in coverage and intensity by late afternoon and evening as the storm gets closer, finally tapering off  late Thursday night.

Thursday’s evening commute could be treacherous as bridges and elevated surfaces get slushy and icy with temps near freezing. The worst road conditions will occur overnight and early Friday morning as lows bottom out in the upper 20′s.

Yes, schools may close or start late Friday morning and commuters will likely need to rethink their Friday schedules and plan to stay off the roads until temps climb above freezing..around 10-11am.

Ironically my kids are NOT excited about the snow this time. They don’t want to miss school and all the fun Valentine’s day parties that are planned. And if they miss Friday due to weather..they will have to make it up on Monday, a planned day off. Now that’s a bummer.

As of tonight..I think they’ll go to school Friday….and just get a late start.

We’ll see! It’s always interesting.

Kristine on February 9th, 2010

Another winter storm is poised to bring North Texas our 4th snow event of the season.

The most memorable storm of the season so far…  the Christmas Eve blizzard that wrecked havoc with holiday travelers. This next storm, while it’s not expected to be as nasty of the Christmas Eve storm..it’s definitely one to watch. The ground is colder now and if snow and a winter mix does fall, it’s more likely to impact not just our bridges and elevated roads, but all roads, especially those less travelled. What we fortunately won’t have are the wild winds.

The models continue to show a slow start to the event. Dry air in the lower levels will keep the snow aloft through much of Wednesday night and Thursday morning. But by Thursday afternoon and evening as the upper low gets closer and lift stronger, we should start to see a steady light snow or winter mix that could begin to accumulate late Thursday and especially Friday morning when I expect any travel problems to be at their worst.

Some of us, could see 1-3″ of snow. The exact track of the upper low is key, but locations hit by  some of the heavier bands could see more. Schools and businesses need to be aware that travel may be dangerous enough by Thursday night and Friday morning to cause closures.

Temperatures will be tricky as they usually are. If the cloud cover holds off until late tonight, we’ll easily drop into the mid 20s. But clouds coming in quickly ahead of the system will trap the cold air tomorrow. The lingering dry air as precip falls into it Wed night and Thursday morning will allow for enough evaporational cooling to keep temps near or below freezing especially along and north of an Eastland to Athens line.

Here’s a graphic from the National Weather Service -Ft. Worth homepage this morning showing the areas that are most likely to see accumulating winter precipitation.

Who has best chance of seeing snowStay tuned to your favorite local news station for the latest forecast. I’ll be posting an update by Wednesday afternoon giving my take on this next storm.

Then looking ahead to the weekend and early next week…

Once this storm shifts east it will allow another reinforcing shot of cold air to plunge in Sunday morning with possibly a few snow flurries. We will clear out quickly Sunday, but it will continue to remain cold through at least Monday, but at least we’ll see the sun.

Anyone ready for spring?

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Kristine on January 6th, 2010

It’s been too long since I’ve posted…it’s time to get back in the swing, especially given this crazy winter weather we’ve been having. I guess I couldn’t have picked a better time to release the second book in the Katie series called Katie and the Magic Umbrella:On Snowflake Trail. It teaches kids about blizzards, how snow, sleet, and freezing rain are made. It also teaches cold weather safety, important stuff to know this time of year.

Since late November we’ve had more than our share of cold weather and a Christmas Eve blizzard to boot! Don’t know about you, but I’m really missing those occasional winter days in North Texas when we can see sun and highs in the 60′s and 70′s. Looking back at December, I noticed that we had 19 of 31 days where our high didn’t make it above 50 degrees. We also had 15 official freezes in December. The average is 10.  Of course the day I remember fondly was Dec 23rd..when DFW hit 75 degrees!  What a day that was! The next day…a blizzard that we’ll remember for years to come.

I think many Americans are probably questioning the validity of “Global Warming”, and they should be, given that we are experiencing one the coldest winters in many years with new studies showing that global temperatures last decade actually cooled. (This is a topic for another day :) )

I digress….

Tonight we are expecting another blast from the arctic that should be taken seriously. The front will arrive between 11pm and 2am Thursday morning…winds will shift abruptly to the north and howl all day Thursday and Thursday night, finally calming down late Friday. Wintery precip is possible, mainly in the form of freezing light rain or drizzle between 3am and 10am Thursday, then any lift for precip will shift east and as the cold, dry arctic air settles in. Once this happens, dew points will drop so drastically that I expect the clouds to start clearing out as early as Thursday evening and Thursday night.

The weather pattern that brings this kind of cold is called the McFarland Signature where a strong high pressure ridge at 500mb develops over Alaska and the northern Pacific creating a huge buckle (trough) that sends the bitter cold diving straight south into the central and eastern U.S.

While the cold will last about 3-4 days, it will be severe enough that if you don’t prepare your home and pets and businesses, you could be in for a wet, expensive mess. Pipe breaks and property damage will no doubt be in the news the next several days because people didn’t drip faucets or winterize their pipes and outdoor faucets properly. Temperatures will be dropping during the day Thursday and leading to our 2 coldest mornings..Friday and Saturday when temperatures will likely drop to between 8-12 degrees in some of our northern burbs, to 12-15 for our metro areas. Saturday morning should be the coldest with clear skies and the lightest winds. As new model runs come in we’ll know better whether we’re underestimating how cold it will truly get.

Fortunately, by Saturday and Sunday our highs will gradually climb above freezing again. Highs will be back into the 40′s by Sunday.

Looking ahead…our long-range models are showing signs that another big storm will develop over Texas that could spell trouble (more snow?) for North Texas by Friday of next week. Stay tuned!

Kristine on December 2nd, 2009

I love it when mother nature cooperates with my forecast!

North Texas woke up to its first snowfall of the season today. Might seem a bit early, but just 2 years ago we had snow on Thanksgiving Day. Remember that?

What fun to see the snow piling up on rooftops this morning.. and we didn’t  have to worry about slick or icy roads. The beauty of having snow this early when the ground is still so warm. Here are a few shots from my neighborhood about 8am.

What I also loved is that I could enjoy the fact that it was snowing and I didn’t have to be at the TV station. What a blessing!

Get ready..we aren’t done yet.

Looking at the latest computer guidance, arctic air will arrive tonight and tomorrow. While this very cold and relatively shallow air seeps in at the surface and mid levels…a strong upper trough will arrive late Thursday and early Friday creating the lift needed to squeeze out another round of snow for mainly the central and southern half of North Texas. While I think we’ll see snow here in the DFW area..it could be a more significant event for areas to our south  and east. From San Angelo to College Station and even the NW side of Houston could see snow on Friday.

We’ll dry out Friday night and the weekend looks dry. Upper 40′s Saturday, much warmer by Sunday.

Kristine on November 29th, 2009

After a string of seasonably cool, sunny days a strong cold front arrives in North Texas early this afternoon. A few storms are possible, but the biggest change will come with the gusty north winds that will pick up this afternoon and evening and take temperatures down sharply overnight tonight.

Monday will be dry and much cooler. Do expect some sunshine mixed with clouds during the day. Highs will struggle to make it into the 50s, but if we see enough sun, 60 is possible. Bigger changes come Tuesday into Wednesday.

A potent upper level low is winding up over New Mexico and Arizona today. It will slowly shift eastward beginning Monday. This will spread thicker clouds ahead of it into North Texas.

By Tuesday, the lift associated with this system will finally start to squeeze enough moisture out of a very dry atmosphere as moisture slowly rides northwest along the back of a developing surface low along the Gulf coast. We will see rain develop quickly and continue much of the day Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Wednesday is the day to watch…

Here is an early forecast from one of the long range models used to forecast by most meteorologists.

Early Morning Wednesday

6am Wednesday- Blue Shading Indicates Snow

By 12Z Wednesday this image shows some snow across West-Central Texas where temperature profiles will be cold enough for a snow/sleet mix that could reach the ground. As I looked at the midday Wednesday forecast, several models do show the temperature profile in the DFW area favorable for about a 6-10 hour timeframe (6am-4pm) where if precip falls, it could be in the form of a rain/sleet mix, especially late morning/early afternoon as we get the colder air funneling in on the backside of the storm.

The forecast challenges…

1. Will there be enough moisture left by the time the upper low crosses?

2. Will the 500-850mb temps be cold enough when the moisture is available?

Keep in mind, that ground temps are still very warm…so any winter precip that does make it to the ground will not stick, but it could make for an interesting day Wednesday as the cold core of the upper low moves right across North Texas.

Regardless, this will be an eventful week of weather..with a freeze for just about everyone by Wednesday night.

Kristine on November 12th, 2009

Tuesday I was the invited author and guest at Grove’s Elementary school in Wylie’s  first PTA Reading Night.

What a great audience of teachers, parents and children. I started by sharing a little bit about why I wrote Katie and the Magic Umbrella and my vision for Katie and future books. Then we turned down the lights and played my DVD animation of the story while I read to the kids. This is always a big hit when I visit schools.

Here’s a little photo summary  of the evening and a big thank you to the principal and staff of Grove’s for making my visit so fun and for making me feel so welcome!