El Nino and our Spring

There is no question our very wet, chilly winter has been the result of a strong El Nino.

Often the effects of the El Nino on our weather wane as we get closer to summer. We’ll see.

As I look at the long-range models… the constant train of storm systems that continue to cross the southern third of the U.S. aren’t showing signs of slowing down anytime soon. So as we head into the spring, instead of frequent rounds of snow, we should expect frequent storms that could bring us a severe weather season we might not soon forget. Even if tornadoes and hail aren’t the big story, I have a feeling it could be the flooding.

Our lakes are full. So if the faucet doesn’t shut off with a few dry spells in March and April, the big rains we typically get in May could lead to some major problems.

Short term: What’s ahead for Monday and Monday night in North Texas?

More rain and a few embedded storms. While the Storm Prediction Center isn’t expecting any major severe weather outbreaks with this next system here..it’s dynamic enough for elevated rotating storms that could bring hail and powerful winds between late morning and early evening Monday.

Monday SPC Outlook

500mb Chart for Monday

Then we clear out and Tuesday looks fantastic with highs in the 70′s!

But another fast-moving system will jet through the Panhandle Wednesday bringing another quick shot at more storms before it moves out Thursday. So this week will be an active one weather-wise with quick changes.

I know there are many of you who love winter and the cold, but I am honestly thrilled that the weather is warming up. Time to get back in the garden, plant my herbs and flowers and spend long evenings on the patio. I can’t wait!